$SPY #Options – day trading calls 10/11

These trades are based on this strategy:

#Options – Buying Calls and Puts

And this context:

#MarketTiming – the NYMO low above a low

INITIAL ENTRY:

FIRST HALF PLUS 50%:

SECOND HALF CLOSE OF THE TRADE PLUS 46%:

All Twitter timestamps are Pacific time:

$SPY #Options – Day trading calls – 10/10

INITIAL ENTRY:

FIRST HALF OFF:

CLOSE OF DAY TRADE

$SPY #Options – day trading puts – 10/8

NOTE ON SECOND TRADE: Took profit of 50%, by habit and close to the end of the day, but sold way too soon as the market continued its selloff making the second put position worth 81% at the close.

These trades were based on this post:

#Options – Buying calls and puts

And this context:

#MarketTiming – okay, we are close to a bounce…

Note the final comment in the link immediately above: “Regardless, a bounce now will still be a bounce to sell again.”

All Twitter timestamps are Pacific Time.

FIRST TRADE:

SECOND TRADE:

#Options – Buying Calls and Puts

There are so many options strategies in the stock market the head spins – a straddle, a strangle, a naked and/or a covered put and/or call, a calendar, a condor, an iron condor, an iron butterfly (isn’t that a rock band?) and any combination of any of these for hedging purposes, for capital appreciation or preservation, for gambling. Mind boggling.

But buying options… Buying options, just plain buying a call or a put, everyone will say is a “fool’s game.”

Regardless of whether a trader buys calls or puts on index ETFs like SPY or QQQ or IWM, or buys options on stocks, there are only three things that can happen – the option goes the trader’s way (good), or the option goes against the trader (bad), the option goes sideways with price decay over time (also bad).

Two out of the three possibilities for the option buyer are losers. What fool would want to play that game?

But is it really a fool’s game?

Doesn’t have to be. Not for day traders.

The key, as always, is persistence, discipline, experience, and an entry signal the individual trader is comfortable taking.

Let’s consider SPY options as the prime example — very liquid across multiple strikes, tight spreads, hardly any time decay on a trade for only a day, a stop-loss is close by and immediate, and the profits, if there is a trend for the day, can be substantial, even rather astounding.

Also great for scalping on any time frame intraday.

$SPY #options – Day trading calls in the 10/04 market bounce

This trade was based on this post:

#Options – Buying calls and puts

And this context:

$SPY #Options – Day trading calls for 10/3 bounce…

All Twitter timestamps are Pacific Time.

FIRST TRADE:

SECOND TRADE:

CLOSE OF DAY:

$SPY #Options – Day trading calls for 10/3 bounce…

This trade was based on this post:

#Options – Buying calls and puts

And this context:

#MarketTiming – okay, we are close to a bounce…

All Twitter timestamps are Pacific Time.

ENTRY:

FIRST HALF

CLOSE

(CLICK ON THE CHART FOR A LARGER VIEW)

$SPY #Options – day trading 10/02

These trades are based on this post:

#Options – Buying calls and puts

A TRENDING DAY – PUTS.

Trending days are defined as any day a call or a put position gains 100 or more percent.

FIRST TRADE – all Twitter time stamps are Pacific time:

SECOND TRADE:

THIRD TRADE:

#Options – Buying calls and puts

There are so many options strategies in the stock market the head spins – a straddle, a strangle, a naked and/or a covered put and/or call, a calendar, a condor, an iron condor, an iron butterfly (isn’t that a rock band?) and any combination of any of these for hedging purposes, for capital appreciation or preservation, for gambling. Mind boggling.

But buying options… Buying options, just plain buying a call or a put, everyone will say is a “fool’s game.”

Regardless of whether a trader buys calls or puts on index ETFs like SPY or QQQ or IWM, or buys options on stocks, there are only three things that can happen – the option goes the trader’s way (good), or the option goes against the trader (bad), the option goes sideways with price decay over time (also bad).

Two out of the three possibilities for the option buyer are losers. What fool would want to play that game?

But is it really a fool’s game?

Doesn’t have to be. Not for day traders.

Let’s take SPY options as the prime example — very liquid across multiple strikes, tight spreads, hardly any time decay on a trade for only a day, a stop-loss is close by and immediate, and the profits, if there is a trend for the day, can be substantial, even rather astounding.

Also great for scalping on any time frame intraday.

The key, as always, is persistence, discipline, experience, and an entry signal the trader is comfortable with taking.

$SPY – dead cat or not, the open always matters…

MARKET TIMING SIGNALS FOR 7/18/2019.

Long-Term Breadth (the NYSI): Sell DAY 2
Short-Term Breadth (the NYMO): Buy DAY 1
Price: Buy DAY 1
Nifty-50-Stock-List: 17 BUYS, 9 NEW BUYS, 8 OVERBOUGHT; 32 SELLS, 2 NEW SELLS, 8 OVERSOLD.
CNN MONEY’S “Fear and Greed” Index: 47, rising, NEUTRAL LEVEL.
Bellwether Stocks: 7 UP, 8 DOWN.

WHAT?

In yesterday’s post it was noted that:

“The market will go down until it doesn’t, and granted, that could be even as early as tomorrow. The VIX remains below 15, which is a bullish level indicating this is likely a pullback and not a serious correction.”

The is pretty much what happened with a gap down before recovering.

While all three of my end-of-the-day signals were on or went to sells on today’s open in options trading and day trading the open always matters.

See the charts below. Color-coding on the these TradeStation charts has been getting simpler and simpler.

Those trades were triggered by the open for each option. They are set for $10K in each trade (what I call the “10KDayTrade” on Twitter) only to make calculating the percentage gains and losses easier. So $10K in 296 call for Friday’s expiration made about $5,900 into the close on the black chart on the left and the brief trade in Friday’s 298 put on the blue chart to the right lost about $900 so the net today across both trades was about 50%.

WHAT NEXT?

Today’s recovery was enough to turn up the NYMO which is a cautious buy signal. I say “cautious” because long-term breadth is declining. Consequently, today’s turn could be a dead-cat bounce with the downward slide resuming in short order. It’s a trade worth taking with a tight, impatient stop — in other words for me it better go my way right away or I’m going away.

At same time, tomorrow’s open, like today’s, is going to matter in both options and day trading. As far as I’m concerned SPY options are always a day trade. Stocks are a different game. Based on today’s close, stocks on my bellwether list to watch for longs tomorrow are AAPL, FSLR, SHOP, TWLO, and NVDA while BABA, WYNN and QCOM may be shorts.

The open for each will tell the story.

(click on the charts below for a larger view)

$SPY #Options – Puts on a put day….

This Tweet was made at the time today’s 284 put (282 on the chart is a typo) hit a 100% profit for the day.

The day-trading strategy, which I call “BUY THE YELLOW, SELL THE BLUE,” topped out up 144%. and even with the choppiness at the end of the day managed to register a 76% gain (see the final chart below).

(click on the chart for a full view of the Tweet)

(click on the chart for a larger view)