UPDATE (12/5): As suggested yesterday the day began with the Nasdaq (TQQQ) rallying, but unlike yesterday, which was perfect for a QQQ weekly option trade, today would have taken some nimble trading to secure any profits in the QQQ calls and the SPY calls. On a $5k buy close to the open, the QQQ in-the-money call for this week (152 strike) rallied up 56% at its peak, violated a trailing moving average at up 48% ($2400), before selling off all the way to breakeven. Two $5K buys on the SPY in the money calls first stopped out for a 1.2% loss, and on a reentry rallied up about 25% before collapsing again to breakeven.
However, the options day-trade play of the day came in the SPY in-the-money put (265 strike) which triggered later in the day and finished at the close up 66% ($3300 on $5K.
Not a terrible day, but a trading test at best.
Haven’t had a chance to update entries here since Wednesday (11/19). Given what happened in the market today, it is as if nothing has happened since. Today was almost an exact replay of last Wednesday with the Dow up, the SPX relatively firm and Nasdaq Composite slamming down 72points.
Take a look at the post below. My first sentence was:
The Nasdaq sold down hard right from the start today, and that is a day-traders dream in weekly options.
If there are recurring nightmares in life, can there be recurring dreams?
With the Nasdaq selling down hard right from the start today, the $5K day-trade in the weekly QQQ in-the-money put finished on its peak at the end of day up 120%, $6000 on a $5000 commitment to the trade. Even the SPY in-the-money weelky put cash in on the market’s the slide, netting 118%, $5900 on the $5000 play in the option. The key to this day-trading system for options (as I have written before) is having an entry a trader is comfortable with, likewise a comfortable protective stop, and on the days (like today) when the stop is not hit, the gain, obviously, can be substantial.
I’ll let the great trader and “market wizard” Linda Bradford Raschke sum it up: “Always take the trade,” she once said, “and sometimes you just get lucky.”
So what now? Once again TQQQ may have dropped too far too fast so I will not be surprise if that 3x-leveraged Nasdaq ETF bounces tomorrow like it did last Thursday and takes the rest of the market with it. Maybe for a couple of days…or more.
LONG-TERM BREADTH: Buy (Day 9).
PRICE: Sell. (Day 2).
SHORT-TERM BREADTH: Sell. (Day 2).
VOLATILITY: Sell, (Day 2).
SPY CLOSE – 264.14
QQQ CLOSE – 152.71
CNN MONEY’S FEAR AND GREED INDEX: (63, falling, greed level).
NIFTY-50 STOCK LIST: 20 Buys; 13 Overbought, 13 Oversold, 7 new buys today, 4 new sells.