The fuse has been lit all that’s left is for the blast to blast.
ON August 10 I gave another heads up to look over at UVXY before it takes off, maybe to the stratosphere…again.
See this link: $UVXY – lighting a fuse for its next explosion…
In the link it was pointed out that UVXY – like other VIX derivatives – had again worked itself into a falling-wedge pattern.
The last time that happened was in January. In February, after a slow walk out of the wedge it suddenly rose nearly to 140 from 11 – FROM ELEVEN TO NEARLY ONE HUNDRED AND FORTY! That explosion was fueled by the worldwide pandemic and, in the U.S. particularly, by the utter incompetence of Trump and his administration to deal with it.
I have no idea what is going to drive it now, although the Trump disaster continues unabated, but UVXY has again walked out of a falling wedge and is slowly walking toward whatever it is (see the chart below).
Maybe it will be reality setting in that an economy — that has been masked by a exuberant market rally fed by FED pumping and a few big tech stocks like AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, FB — more or less sucks.
Much, much more than less.
So many sectors – airlines, movies theaters, cruise ships, BANKS, now even fossil-fuel stocks like XOM, CVX, BP – after the initial bounce off the March lows have been going sideways for months and are now poised to drop off cliffs the market has built for them.
UVXY showed a hard run up off its low today. That could mean it’s done with slow walking. Or maybe not.
Regardless, it likely won’t be much longer until it explodes to the upside, and when it does, it will be fast and across the rest of the market it will take no prisoners.