#MarketTiming $QQQ – tomorrow the bounce…

After three days down in the Nasdaq, two of them hard downs, it is very likely time for a bounce tomorrow.

All of my bellwether stocks, as suggested yesterday (see posts below), followed through with losses today, led by NFLX down 5.5%. With the exception of AAPL and GOOGL they are all oversold. In addition forty of my nifty-fifty stocks are on sells with 34 of those oversold. Forty or more sells usually means we are at the bottom or the beginning of a swing bottom before a bounce.

Most likely he Nasdaq Composite Index has gone down too far too fast (see chart below). Focus on the chart and note that each time the blue histogram pierces the green lines, what happens next is a bounce, sometimes a substantial bounce. That is the most compelling technical case for timing a bounce for tomorrow. Also note if there is a bounce, it will likely not be a bottom. Bottoms and subsequent rallies come after retests.

This time could be an exception of course since the market can do anything it wants any time it wants but for now, I’m watching tomorrow open primarily for some play on the long side.

(click on the chart for a larger view)

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